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Asia M&A trends: Future outlook
Whilst global M&A rose in deal value terms in 2024, both deal values and volumes fell in most parts of Asia.
Global | Publication | February 2017
On 7 February 2017 the Government published the much anticipated Housing White Paper (the Paper), entitled ‘Fixing our broken housing market’. Announced in the House of Commons by Sajid Javid, Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government, with the solemn words “our housing market is broken”, the Paper demonstrates that the Government has grasped the seriousness of the housing crisis and also betrays some frustration with the limited effect of previous measures to increase housing delivery
A key feature of the Paper is that it embraces all types of housing and all types of needs. This includes support for private build to rent (BTR) development and a more diverse range of affordable housing options.
In this briefing, we explore the ways in which the Paper considers the housing market to be ‘broken’, the causes of this and the remedies proposed.
The Paper notes that, since the 1970s, there have been on average 160,000 new homes each year in England whereas the consensus is that 225,000-275,000 are required to keep up with population growth and start to tackle years of under-supply. Indeed, relative to population size, Britain has had Western Europe’s lowest rate of house-building for three decades.
However, as is becoming characteristic of Theresa May’s new administration, the problem is considered through the prism of ordinary working people. The Prime Minister notes in her foreword to the Paper that the lack of homes manifests itself in increasingly unaffordable homes “particularly for ordinary working class people who are struggling to get by”. As such, the lack of affordability of housing in England is another ‘problem’ which the Paper seeks to address.
The Paper highlights some startling statistics in this regard, demonstrating the depth of research which has contributed to the Paper and perhaps explaining the delay in its publication:
Furthermore, the lack of homes has wider-reaching consequences: high property prices stop people moving and decrease the flexibility of the workforce, the Government’s expenditure on housing benefit increases and high rents reduce disposable income and purchasing power, thus harming the general economy. The Paper also dispels any notion that the problem is limited to the capital; since 1997, house prices relative to earnings have more than doubled in major cities in the North.
In short the Paper provides a helpful reality check on the desperate shortage of housing across the UK.
In a nutshell, the Paper identifies three problems: local authorities are failing to plan for a sufficient quantity of homes to meet their local housing requirement; delivery of housing is too slow; and the housebuilding industry is dominated by a small number of big players.
Taking each in turn, firstly, the Paper notes that over 40% of local planning authorities do not have a plan that meets the projected growth in households in their area. The Government is committed to a plan-led system, noting that up-to-date plans are essential because they provide clarity to communities and developers about where houses should be built so that development is planned rather than the result of speculative applications.
Secondly, the Paper notes that the pace of development is too slow, citing the large gap between permissions granted and new homes being built (more than a third of new homes that were granted planning permission between 2010-11 and 2015-16 have yet to be built). While acknowledging a variety of causes for delays, the Paper repeats the Government’s long-held suspicion of ‘landbanking’ by developers who purchase land for housing and then delay development until prices rise; however, in reality there is little evidence for this.
Finally, the Paper points to a more structural problem in the housing market which is the dominance of the large housebuilding firms; currently Britain’s largest ten housebuilding firms build around 60% of new private homes. The Government considers that incentivising smaller (SME) housebuilders, bringing forward smaller sites and diversifying the housing market can help to increase supply.
The Paper is split into four chapters which seek to address these problems in turn, as follows:
The purpose of this chapter of the Paper is to acknowledge that it will take some time to fix the ‘broken housing market’ and to offer some interim relief for the Government’s favoured ‘ordinary households and communities’.
The Government has also launched a consultation paper on BTR to encourage its increasing role in the housing market. Government recognises that BTR attracts stable institutional investment, provides quality and choice including longer term tenancies and helps to accelerate build rates compared with market housing.
The consultation paper includes a number of measures but most importantly details the proposals to recognise BTR as a form of housing that local authorities should consider and plan for and to identify affordable private renting as an acceptable form of affordable housing that can be provided on BTR schemes.
In conjunction with the publication of the Housing White Paper, the Government has also published the independent CIL review which was commissioned in November 2015 to assess the extent to which CIL can provide an effective mechanism for funding infrastructure and to recommend changes that would improve its operation. The Government acknowledges in the Paper that the review found that the current system is not as fast, simple, certain or transparent as originally intended and states that it will respond to the review and make an announcement in the Autumn Budget 2017. The key recommendations of the CIL review are that the Government should replace CIL with a hybrid system of a broad and low level Local Infrastructure Tariff (LIT) and Section 106 for larger developments and that combined authorities should be enabled to set up an additional Mayoral type Strategic Infrastructure Tariff.
Debate is already raging over whether the Paper represents the “radical vision” for housebuilding, as claimed by the Government.
Critics will say that the Paper repeats well-worn ideas such as more high-density building on brownfield land and a failure to make any dent on the Green Belt, considered sacrosanct by many Conservative supporters. Indeed, many of the proposals have been foreshadowed by previous announcements.
Local authorities’ reactions are likely to be mixed. On the one hand, there is the ability to increase resources through levying higher planning application fees, encouragement to use powers to speed up development (including through compulsory purchase powers) and opportunities to partner the Government in bringing forward housing developments; on the other hand, they will be concerned about the housing delivery test to monitor their progress against housing targets with real consequences of under-delivery, the Government’s tough talking on local plan production and more intervention in their assessment of local housing need.
As for developers, many will lament the failure to look more seriously at the option of Green Belt release and there will be concern about the somewhat unrealistic proposal to require the speedier implementation of planning permissions. However, developers will welcome the further initiatives to speed up the planning process and in particular the stricter requirements on local authorities in terms of planning for their local housing need and the production of Local Plans. In addition, the attempt to diversify the housebuilding market will be welcomed by most of the industry and institutional investors will be greatly encouraged by the moves to recognise BTR within the NPPF and to embrace affordable private rent as a means of addressing affordable housing requirements on BTR schemes.
These proposals are not “radical” but they are comprehensive and sensible. The stakes are high; in her foreword to the Paper, Theresa May cites the “broken housing market” as “one of the greatest barriers to progress in Britain today”. The Government is clearly correct to say that there is “no one single magic bullet” to boost housing supply, and on balance, the package of proposals set out in the Paper should, when taken together, go some way towards both stimulating housing delivery and addressing affordability.
Publication
Whilst global M&A rose in deal value terms in 2024, both deal values and volumes fell in most parts of Asia.
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